Rabbit Season! Duck Season! [Chat] Season!

ronya

spool32 wrote: »

ronya wrote: »

Sometimes you have to just laugh. Watching the ’round-the-rump path that global asset managers have taken to arrive at basic Keynesian – pre-Keynesian indeed – understandings of macroeconomics is one of those times. From Mike Dolan:

“Bizarrely, despite all this debt issuance there is a shortage of bonds,” said Alan Higgins, Chief Investment Officer at British private bank Coutts, adding there were plenty of signs of what he called “leakage” within the more conservative fixed income funds to higher-risk securities as a result.

. . .

What’s more, this bond drought on the investment markets has added to growing concern about a shortage of high quality collateral – typically top-rated bonds – pledged and repledged within the financial system to raise cash.

So, what you seem to be saying here is that when the households all try to pay down debt, banks have no one to lend to and have to load up on government bonds. If governments don’t produce enough bonds then yields will collapse as billions of savers all chase the same few borrowers. What’s more this could actually have perverse consequences for system wide liquidity and the functioning of capital markets.

It's almost crazy enough to make sense.

I would love to borrow a couple thousand dollars to repair my credit but my credit is too poor to borrow anything.

flight to safety

you're not safe :rotate:

the government is, though

Ludious

macbooks don't even offer a 17" screen, what is this a laptop for ants

Elki

http://www.comicchameleon.com/


I hope this is good.

evilbob

Ok so if

NEWCASTLE win or draw and

TOTTENHAM win and

There's one go as l or none in the united game and

Everton win and

There's four or more goals in the city game I actually came out ahead.

ronya

ronya wrote: »

todo:

estimate the VAR for the whole period on differences, to see how much lags to include. ideally fewer. nope ten lags

log-likelihood-ratio-test for nonlinearity nope too many lags. I am starting to notice a pattern.

log-likelihood-ratio-test for granger causation.

Gooey

realtalk: i will never buy a 13" laptop ever again

15" or i feed

desc

Dread Pirate Arbuthnot wrote: »

I am going to buy a fancy new drawing tablet at some point soon.

Buy a cintiq

Tell them to use bags of cocaine for packaging material and to send a solid gold pen

RMS Oceanic

My first laptop was 17".

cptrugged

What an odd process this song being in my head has been. Woke up with just the lyrics, "On the wings of the night" with a partial melody in my head. Went to work, googled it and it turns out it was Pink Floyd's "On the Turning Away" which I'd heard on a b-side marathon last month. Youtubed it, loved it. Wanted better quality, so I went to amazon an bought the MP3. Been on repeat for the last 40 minutes or so.

Sir Landshark

ronya wrote: »

spool32 wrote: »

ronya wrote: »

Sometimes you have to just laugh. Watching the ’round-the-rump path that global asset managers have taken to arrive at basic Keynesian – pre-Keynesian indeed – understandings of macroeconomics is one of those times. From Mike Dolan:

“Bizarrely, despite all this debt issuance there is a shortage of bonds,” said Alan Higgins, Chief Investment Officer at British private bank Coutts, adding there were plenty of signs of what he called “leakage” within the more conservative fixed income funds to higher-risk securities as a result.

. . .

What’s more, this bond drought on the investment markets has added to growing concern about a shortage of high quality collateral – typically top-rated bonds – pledged and repledged within the financial system to raise cash.

So, what you seem to be saying here is that when the households all try to pay down debt, banks have no one to lend to and have to load up on government bonds. If governments don’t produce enough bonds then yields will collapse as billions of savers all chase the same few borrowers. What’s more this could actually have perverse consequences for system wide liquidity and the functioning of capital markets.

It's almost crazy enough to make sense.

I would love to borrow a couple thousand dollars to repair my credit but my credit is too poor to borrow anything.

flight to safety

you're not safe :rotate:

the government is, though

what's the solution then? go balls crazy with spending and issue more bonds?

TheNomadicCircle

I think this might me my second theme song.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wEp9MCQlAa4

spool32

ronya wrote: »

spool32 wrote: »

ronya wrote: »

Sometimes you have to just laugh. Watching the ’round-the-rump path that global asset managers have taken to arrive at basic Keynesian – pre-Keynesian indeed – understandings of macroeconomics is one of those times. From Mike Dolan:

“Bizarrely, despite all this debt issuance there is a shortage of bonds,” said Alan Higgins, Chief Investment Officer at British private bank Coutts, adding there were plenty of signs of what he called “leakage” within the more conservative fixed income funds to higher-risk securities as a result.

. . .

What’s more, this bond drought on the investment markets has added to growing concern about a shortage of high quality collateral – typically top-rated bonds – pledged and repledged within the financial system to raise cash.

So, what you seem to be saying here is that when the households all try to pay down debt, banks have no one to lend to and have to load up on government bonds. If governments don’t produce enough bonds then yields will collapse as billions of savers all chase the same few borrowers. What’s more this could actually have perverse consequences for system wide liquidity and the functioning of capital markets.

It's almost crazy enough to make sense.

I would love to borrow a couple thousand dollars to repair my credit but my credit is too poor to borrow anything.

flight to safety

you're not safe :rotate:

the government is, though

I am safe, but the metric to use to determine risk lags behind my current situation.

Old debt damaged my credit and erased my equity, but I've righted the ship.

I just can't make any headway. With a cash infusion, I could eliminate old debt, repair my credit, and refinance current debt at a dramatically lower interest rate, which would make me even more financially stable.

grrrr.

skippydumptruck

I have a 17" laptop for work, I hate it

when I am sitting at a desk I use a monitor

I wish this bitch was a 2lb 13" little wafer of a thing instead of this giant box I have to lug around

21stCentury

I'm super bummed out today. Yay for being grumpy.

spool32

It really frustrates me that the only option I have for a loan is an extremely high-interest predatory lender.

desc

Today's PA comic sucks.

Sir Landshark

spool32 wrote: »

It really frustrates me that the only option I have for a loan is an extremely high-interest predatory lender.

my work lets me take a loan against my 401k, do you have that option?

Elki

13" served me well, but next time I'll do 15". 17" was my worst laptop experience, but that was a 2007 Gateway, with year-appropriate components. I want Apple or Samsung to do a 17" super-slim laptop in a year or two, with a high dpi screen. All 17" machines in the market now are elephants, and I'm never again carrying a slab that big.

ronya

Sir Landshark wrote: »

ronya wrote: »

spool32 wrote: »

ronya wrote: »

Sometimes you have to just laugh. Watching the ’round-the-rump path that global asset managers have taken to arrive at basic Keynesian – pre-Keynesian indeed – understandings of macroeconomics is one of those times. From Mike Dolan:

“Bizarrely, despite all this debt issuance there is a shortage of bonds,” said Alan Higgins, Chief Investment Officer at British private bank Coutts, adding there were plenty of signs of what he called “leakage” within the more conservative fixed income funds to higher-risk securities as a result.

. . .

What’s more, this bond drought on the investment markets has added to growing concern about a shortage of high quality collateral – typically top-rated bonds – pledged and repledged within the financial system to raise cash.

So, what you seem to be saying here is that when the households all try to pay down debt, banks have no one to lend to and have to load up on government bonds. If governments don’t produce enough bonds then yields will collapse as billions of savers all chase the same few borrowers. What’s more this could actually have perverse consequences for system wide liquidity and the functioning of capital markets.

It's almost crazy enough to make sense.

I would love to borrow a couple thousand dollars to repair my credit but my credit is too poor to borrow anything.

flight to safety

you're not safe :rotate:

the government is, though

what's the solution then? go balls crazy with spending and issue more bonds?

the neutral response here is to just issue a ton of bonds, yeah

raise debt for the sake of raising debt. the yield is still below expected inflation.

Dread Pirate Arbuthnot

desc wrote: »

Dread Pirate Arbuthnot wrote: »

I am going to buy a fancy new drawing tablet at some point soon.

Buy a cintiq

Tell them to use bags of cocaine for packaging material and to send a solid gold pen

http://www.wacom.com/products/pen-tablets/intuos/intuos5-touch-small

I'm thinking about this.

Henroid

I'm suddenly realizing how obnoxious I must have been when I was pessimistic 100% of the time / younger. I'm arguing with someone like this yet again and it just hit me like a ton of bricks.

ronya

spool32 wrote: »

ronya wrote: »

spool32 wrote: »

ronya wrote: »

Sometimes you have to just laugh. Watching the ’round-the-rump path that global asset managers have taken to arrive at basic Keynesian – pre-Keynesian indeed – understandings of macroeconomics is one of those times. From Mike Dolan:

“Bizarrely, despite all this debt issuance there is a shortage of bonds,” said Alan Higgins, Chief Investment Officer at British private bank Coutts, adding there were plenty of signs of what he called “leakage” within the more conservative fixed income funds to higher-risk securities as a result.

. . .

What’s more, this bond drought on the investment markets has added to growing concern about a shortage of high quality collateral – typically top-rated bonds – pledged and repledged within the financial system to raise cash.

So, what you seem to be saying here is that when the households all try to pay down debt, banks have no one to lend to and have to load up on government bonds. If governments don’t produce enough bonds then yields will collapse as billions of savers all chase the same few borrowers. What’s more this could actually have perverse consequences for system wide liquidity and the functioning of capital markets.

It's almost crazy enough to make sense.

I would love to borrow a couple thousand dollars to repair my credit but my credit is too poor to borrow anything.

flight to safety

you're not safe :rotate:

the government is, though

I am safe, but the metric to use to determine risk lags behind my current situation.

Old debt damaged my credit and erased my equity, but I've righted the ship.

I just can't make any headway. With a cash infusion, I could eliminate old debt, repair my credit, and refinance current debt at a dramatically lower interest rate, which would make me even more financially stable.

grrrr.

check other banks in your state? my impression is that the US overflows with little banks

21stCentury

I think i made a breakthrough.

i'm depressed because I don't have school to go to anymore. Meaning i don't interact with people anymore or have anything to get up to.

STATE OF THE ART ROBOT

desc wrote: »

Today's PA comic sucks.

The art is terrible today. Just looks really weird.

desc

Dread Pirate Arbuthnot wrote: »

desc wrote: »

Dread Pirate Arbuthnot wrote: »

I am going to buy a fancy new drawing tablet at some point soon.

Buy a cintiq

Tell them to use bags of cocaine for packaging material and to send a solid gold pen

http://www.wacom.com/products/pen-tablets/intuos/intuos5-touch-small

I'm thinking about this.

Ooh the current gen looks so classy. I have a 3rd gen that Iove but it is not as pretty as these.

That looks nice. Size looks very workable.

spool32

Sir Landshark wrote: »

spool32 wrote: »

It really frustrates me that the only option I have for a loan is an extremely high-interest predatory lender.

my work lets me take a loan against my 401k, do you have that option?

I consumed my entire retirement savings trying to save my house from foreclosure when I was out of work in 2009. Then I took a job that pays about 15% less than the one I got when I bought the house, so I can't afford to contribute to a retirement fund now.

Sir Landshark

Henroid wrote: »

I'm suddenly realizing how obnoxious I must have been when I was pessimistic 100% of the time / younger. I'm arguing with someone like this yet again and it just hit me like a ton of bricks.

at least you got better!

Henroid

Sir Landshark wrote: »

Henroid wrote: »

I'm suddenly realizing how obnoxious I must have been when I was pessimistic 100% of the time / younger. I'm arguing with someone like this yet again and it just hit me like a ton of bricks.

at least you got better!

I embrace hope and strive for people to rise above shitty behavior and practices.

Dread Pirate Arbuthnot

desc wrote: »

Dread Pirate Arbuthnot wrote: »

desc wrote: »

Dread Pirate Arbuthnot wrote: »

I am going to buy a fancy new drawing tablet at some point soon.

Buy a cintiq

Tell them to use bags of cocaine for packaging material and to send a solid gold pen

http://www.wacom.com/products/pen-tablets/intuos/intuos5-touch-small

I'm thinking about this.

Ooh the current gen looks so classy. I have a 3rd gen that Iove but it is not as pretty as these.

That looks nice. Size looks very workable.

for some reason that has 3 1/2 stars and the medium has 4 1/2 so im vaguely considering the medium

since its only a hundo more

i dunno though *bites fingernails*

also im intimidated by how fancy these things are

Mim

Gooey wrote: »

Mim wrote: »

Gooey wrote: »

Mim wrote: »

Gooey wrote: »

Mim wrote: »

Look Geth, one day, IT'S GOING TO BE ME.

the algorithm that geth uses to pick who starts the next chat is basically a popularity contest


so i wouldn't hold my breath if i were you

>:{

kiss kiss

It's kiss kiss kiss, not "kiss kiss".

Jeez, I hope @simonwolf comes along and snatches your wig

i only kiss twice

a third kiss would make you fall in love with me and i cannot deal with yet another smitten female who is a slave to her urges

Gurl plz

override367

there are a lot of prepaid monthly plans that offer 4g now

I wonder what the best is because AT&T charging aprox 50% more monthly than the statutory rate is ridonk

desc

Spool if I were rich I would invest in you. I would only charge you 1% interest but there would be one catch:

You would have to answer the phone any time I happened to call. I'd say something like, "Tell me one thing that's awesome about taxes and you have to sound enthusiastic when you say it." Then when you did I would hang up and you could back to re-fi-ing.

Solomaxwell6

I stopped by the mall downstairs for lunch, and on my way back to the office elevator the security guard was too busy chatting with someone to check my ID. I ended up walking right by him, unvetted.

If anyone ever wants to sneak into the US Marshall's building, I know the best entrance!

kaleedity

today's annoyance:

having a logging issue. Normally I can get tickets that have virtually no back ground information (ie, the first tier helpdesk literally records no information beyond a name, an email, and a phone#) and I can fix tickets that come in and then call the user to tell them their problem is fixed or tell them they need to figure out their own shit because we're not causing it. Now I need to call the user to figure anything out, and I can't prove we're not causing any problems if that's the case.

sucks

spool32

desc wrote: »

Spool if I were rich I would invest in you. I would only charge you 1% interest but there would be one catch:

You would have to answer the phone any time I happened to call. I'd say something like, "Tell me one thing that's awesome about taxes and you have to sound enthusiastic when you say it." Then when you did I would hang up and you could back to re-fi-ing.

Sold.

"The best thing about taxes is all the lesser nations we're able to invade because of them!"

Sir Landshark

spool32 wrote: »

Sir Landshark wrote: »

spool32 wrote: »

It really frustrates me that the only option I have for a loan is an extremely high-interest predatory lender.

my work lets me take a loan against my 401k, do you have that option?

I consumed my entire retirement savings trying to save my house from foreclosure when I was out of work in 2009. Then I took a job that pays about 15% less than the one I got when I bought the house, so I can't afford to contribute to a retirement fund now.

hmm

have you considered becoming a pirate?

Ludious

Spool I thought you were going to start a company or something

Ludious

Sir Landshark wrote: »

spool32 wrote: »

Sir Landshark wrote: »

spool32 wrote: »

It really frustrates me that the only option I have for a loan is an extremely high-interest predatory lender.

my work lets me take a loan against my 401k, do you have that option?

I consumed my entire retirement savings trying to save my house from foreclosure when I was out of work in 2009. Then I took a job that pays about 15% less than the one I got when I bought the house, so I can't afford to contribute to a retirement fund now.

hmm

have you considered becoming a pirate?

a certain kind of pirate

Elki

On damn, it is good. On an iPhone 4S. Oh no.

BeNarwhal

21stCentury wrote: »

I think i made a breakthrough.

i'm depressed because I don't have school to go to anymore. Meaning i don't interact with people anymore or have anything to get up to.

Yes this is bad things 21st!

Depression feeds on inactivity.